Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 08 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

08 Mar 2022 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (11 Mar 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2022 06:00 - 12 Mar 2022 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	130 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 230000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	111	1000 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
	2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	130	4.9 million	230 thousand	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.6, 51.3
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 49.4	Madagascar
2	08 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	44000 people	-15, 47.9	Madagascar
2	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11000 people	-14.9, 46.4
2	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-15, 45
2	10 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1 million people	-15.3, 43.7
2	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Category 1	130	230000 people	4.4 million people	-15.5, 41.3
2	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	3.6 million people	-15.4, 39.3	Mozambique
2	13 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.8, 38.5	Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nampula	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (121 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 08 Mar 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Barroa	Mozambique	0.5
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.5
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.5
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 15:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 23:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 23:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 19:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 12:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 12:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 23:00	Baly	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 23:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 13:00	Berafia	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 13:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 15:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 21:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 09:00	Tsianinkiro	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 15:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 17:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 20:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 00:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 23:00	Ambodiadabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 23:00	Androlavy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 23:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 15:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	07 Mar 2022 23:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.1
	07 Mar 2022 23:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andamoty	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromandia	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 11:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 10:00	Matibane	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 14:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Sanhute	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Miaola	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 02:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.